The Week 18 NFL schedule for the 2023 season is stacked with nice matchups, and we have got you coated with what that you must know heading into the weekend. Our NFL Nation reporters deliver us the largest keys to each sport and a daring prediction for every matchup.
Moreover, ESPN Stats & Data gives an enormous stat to know and a betting nugget for every contest, and our Football Power Index (FPI) goes contained in the numbers with a sport projection and a take a look at the playoff image. Analytics author Seth Walder picks out every matchup’s greatest X issue, and fantasy analyst Eric Moody fingers out useful fantasy football intel. Lastly, Walder and Moody give us closing rating picks for each sport. Every part you wish to know is right here in a single spot that will help you prepare for a loaded weekend of NFL football.
Let’s get into the total Week 18 slate, together with the Colts and the Texans in a Saturday evening battle for a playoff berth and the Jaguars, Buccaneers and Cowboys all hoping to wrap up division titles Sunday afternoon. All of it culminates with a Sunday evening matchup between the Payments and Dolphins for the AFC East title. (Recreation occasions are Sunday except in any other case famous, and all playoff likelihood percentages are through the FPI.)
Storyline to observe: The Steelers have crushed the Ravens three straight occasions in Baltimore, profitable by a complete of 10 factors. The final time Baltimore gained at dwelling towards Pittsburgh was the 2019 regular-season finale, when the Ravens had already wrapped up the No. 1 seed within the AFC and rested quarterback Lamar Jackson. With the Ravens clinching the AFC’s prime spot in Week 17, Jackson is sitting out this sport, too. — Jamison Hensley
Daring prediction: Security Minkah Fitzpatrick will get his first interception of the season. Fitzpatrick just lately returned to observe after injuring his knee towards the Colts in Week 15, however his availability is much less in query towards the Ravens than it has been the previous two weeks. Tyler Huntley, beginning at quarterback for the Ravens rather than the resting Jackson, has thrown one landing cross to a few interceptions in three video games towards the Steelers. For the primary time in his profession, Fitzpatrick is on the verge of an interception-less season. He beats the buzzer by snagging one off Huntley in an important finale. — Brooke Pryor
Stat to know: The Steelers are 6-1 vs. the Ravens since 2020 (3-0 vs. Jackson, 3-1 vs. all different QBs).
Matchup X issue: What number of gamers Baltimore rests. On paper, after all, the Ravens are the a lot better workforce. However with the No. 1 seed locked up, the Ravens will relaxation Jackson and sure many different key gamers and coast by way of Week 18. How a lot they do will dramatically affect Pittsburgh’s possibilities. — Walder
What’s at stake: The Ravens are locked into the No. 1 seed within the AFC, however the Steelers nonetheless have lots on the road. They’ll clinch a playoff berth with a win after which both a Jaguars loss, Payments loss or a Texans-Colts tie. However they’ll additionally get in in the event that they lose to Baltimore. Pittsburgh would then want a Broncos win, Jaguars loss and something however a tie in Texans-Colts. ESPN’s FPI says Pittsburgh has a 22% likelihood. Read more.
Mina challenges Stephen A. on his Lamar-Ravens take
Stephen A. Smith and Mina Kimes aren’t on the identical web page concerning the troublesome path Lamar Jackson and the Ravens should journey to achieve the Tremendous Bowl.
What to know for fantasy: Search for the Ravens to have some unlikely fantasy contributors. Operating again Melvin Gordon III, who had six touches in Week 17 towards Miami, may play a bigger function this week behind Justice Hill, who completed with eight touches and 22.2 fantasy factors final week. Contemplating that the Ravens lead the league with 32.3 speeding makes an attempt per sport, each Hill and Gordon might be huge components with Jackson sitting out. As for the Steelers, broad receiver George Pickens has caught 11 of 15 targets for 326 receiving yards the previous two weeks since Mason Rudolph assumed the beginning quarterback function. See Week 18 rankings. — Moody
Betting nugget: The Steelers are 4-1 towards the unfold (ATS) in division video games this season and 15-8 ATS since 2020. Read more.
Moody’s decide: Steelers 24, Ravens 20
Walder’s decide: Steelers 22, Ravens 13
FPI prediction: BAL, 78.9% (by a median of 10.6 factors)
Storyline to observe: The stakes on this yr’s sport between these groups couldn’t be extra completely different from these in final season’s finale. The No. 1 decide within the draft was on the road in Week 18 within the 2022 season, with the Colts dropping and knocking Houston into the No. 2 alternative. This season, the winner of this sport goes to the playoffs and wildly accelerates its rebuilding effort forward of 2024. — Stephen Holder
Daring prediction: The Texans will win by greater than 10 factors as quarterback C.J. Stroud will throw for greater than 350 yards. The Texans are a very completely different workforce than the one which confronted the Colts in Week 2, and in that matchup, Stroud threw for 384 yards. The Colts lean on operating the ball, and the Texans have the third-best run protection within the NFL. As soon as they cease the run, the Texans will run away with it. — DJ Bien-Aime
Stat to know: The Colts enable the third-highest completion share on throws 20-plus yards downfield (46%). Stroud has the second-highest QBR (99), third-highest completion share (57.1%), 5 passing touchdowns and 0 interceptions on such throws.
Matchup X issue: Texans edge rusher Will Anderson Jr. He is making a late Defensive Rookie of the Yr push with 2.0 sacks final week. He has a 26% cross rush win fee, which ranks third amongst all edge rushers. — Walder
What’s at stake: The winner of this sport makes the playoffs. And if the Jaguars lose on Sunday, the winner would additionally clinch the AFC South. However the loser of this sport might be eradicated from the postseason. Read more.
What to know for fantasy: The Texans will proceed to rely closely on Stroud and the passing sport. This season, he has averaged 33.8 cross makes an attempt and 18.6 fantasy factors per sport. Additionally, the Colts’ protection depends closely on Cowl 3, which Stroud has had nice success towards. See Week 18 rankings. — Moody
Betting nugget: The Colts are 5-1 ATS as favorites this season. The Texans are 4-1 ATS as street underdogs this season with 4 straight covers. Read more.
Moody’s decide: Texans 31, Colts 23
Walder’s decide: Texans 30, Colts 16
FPI prediction: IND, 51.6% (by a median of 0.6 factors)
1 p.m. ET | CBS | Spread: CIN -7 (37)
Storyline to observe: The Bengals wish to keep away from going winless in divisional play for the fourth time in franchise historical past. The sport will even characteristic a well-known face in Browns quarterback Jeff Driskel, who will begin rather than Joe Flacco and is the fifth quarterback to begin a sport this season for Cleveland. Driskel was with the Bengals early in his profession. He began 5 video games for Cincinnati in 2018 and was in coaching camp with the Bengals in 2019, coach Zac Taylor’s first season. — Ben Child
Daring prediction: Each groups can have gamers rating their first offensive touchdowns of the season. For the Browns, that might be broad receivers Marquise Goodwin or Cedric Tillman, or tight finish Jordan Akins. For the Bengals, operating again Trayveon Williams, broad receiver Charlie Jones or tight finish Mitchell Wilcox are the prime candidates. — Jake Trotter
Stat to know: The Browns are 9-2 vs. the Bengals for the reason that begin of 2018, their finest report towards any workforce over that span (minimal of three video games).
Matchup X issue: Bengals edge rusher Trey Hendrickson. He’s quietly tied for the league lead in sacks with 17.0. He may find yourself the league chief for the season if he racks up one or two extra towards a Browns workforce that’s locked into the No. 5 seed within the AFC playoffs. — Walder
What’s at stake: There is not a lot on the road right here. The Browns are within the playoffs and buckled into the No. 5 seed, whereas the Bengals have been eradicated in Week 17. Read more.
What to know for fantasy: Cleveland operating again Pierre Strong Jr. should not be neglected by managers in deeper leagues. The Browns are more likely to relaxation Jerome Ford and Kareem Hunt. This would depart Sturdy as Cleveland’s starter in a matchup towards a susceptible Bengals protection that simply gave up 130 speeding yards to Isiah Pacheco in Week 17. See Week 18 rankings. — Moody
Betting nugget: The Browns are 4-0 ATS of their previous 4 video games. The Bengals are 0-3 ATS of their previous three video games. Read more.
Moody’s decide: Bengals 24, Browns 20
Walder’s decide: Bengals 23, Browns 20
FPI prediction: CIN, 54.2% (by a median of 1.4 factors)
Matchup must-reads: Browns clinch rare playoff berth on ‘special night’ … Chase continues to jab at Chiefs during, after loss … With fifth seed secure, Browns to rest Flacco, other starters vs. Bengals
1 p.m. ET | Fox | Spread: DET -3.5 (45.5)
Storyline to observe: These rivals will meet for the second time in three weeks, with the Lions clinching the division title for the primary time since 1993 of their final assembly at Minnesota on Dec. 24. Detroit has an opportunity to safe a 12-win season for simply the second time in franchise historical past, whereas the Vikings are holding on to slim possibilities of reaching the playoffs with plenty of eventualities doubtlessly enjoying of their favor — however they should win first. So, each groups are nonetheless enjoying for one thing in Week 18. — Eric Woodyard
Daring prediction: Justin Jefferson will exceed 140 receiving yards. Jefferson has torched the Lions in his profession, totaling at the very least 124 yards in 5 of his seven profession video games towards them. In his previous two video games towards Detroit alone, he has caught 17 passes for 364 yards. And simply final week, the Lions couldn’t comprise one other prime receiver, because the Cowboys’ CeeDee Lamb lit them up for 227 yards on 13 catches. — Kevin Seifert
Stat to know: Lions operating again Jahmyr Gibbs and tight finish Sam LaPorta wish to turn into the primary pair of rookie teammates in NFL historical past to every rating 10 touchdowns in the identical season (Gibbs has 10 scores, LaPorta 9).
Matchup X issue: Vikings linebacker Ivan Pace Jr. Towards Detroit’s frequent and environment friendly floor sport, Tempo will play an important function stopping the run. The undrafted free agent rookie ranks fifth in run cease win fee amongst linebackers. — Walder
What’s at stake: The NFC North champion Lions might be both the No. 2 or No. 3 seed within the playoffs, however for essentially the most half, they’ll calm down on Sunday. However the Vikings are nonetheless clinging to playoff goals. First, they need to win. However they’d additionally want a Packers loss and a Seahawks loss, together with both a Saints loss or Buccaneers loss. All informed, it is a 3% likelihood, the dimmest of the remaining playoff lights. Read more.
What to know for fantasy: Detroit’s Jared Goff has completed as a top-20 fantasy quarterback in simply certainly one of his previous 4 video games. He completed with 31 fantasy factors towards the Broncos in Week 15 — within the three different video games, Goff has averaged solely 10 fantasy factors. This season, Goff has averaged 21.4 fantasy factors per sport at dwelling. See Week 18 rankings. — Moody
Betting nugget: The Vikings are 4-0 ATS as street underdogs this season. They’re 7-1 ATS total on the street. Read more.
Moody’s decide: Lions 31, Vikings 24
Walder’s decide: Lions 27, Vikings 23
FPI prediction: DET, 70.7% (by a median of seven.2 factors)
Matchup must-reads: Vikings need Flores to build on defensive innovation in 2024 … Lions to use controversial loss to Cowboys as ‘fuel’ … Vikings to start Mullens in season finale vs. Lions … Oral history of the last time the Lions won their division … 30 years ago
1 p.m. ET | CBS | Spread: JAX -3.5 (41.5)
Storyline to observe: The Jaguars are looking for their first 10-win season since 2017. If quarterback Trevor Lawrence performs, he wants 264 cross yards to turn into the primary Jaguars QB with a number of 4,000-yard seasons. The Titans are 1-10 (.091) in December and January video games the previous two seasons, the worst profitable share and most losses within the NFL in that span.
Daring prediction: Derrick Henry will prime 100 yards speeding and run for a TD in what might be his closing sport with the Titans. Henry has averaged greater than 100 speeding yards per sport in his 14 video games towards the Jaguars and has run for 15 TDs. It will make him simply the second participant this season to hurry for 100 yards towards a Jaguars rush protection that ranks eighth within the NFL (98.6 yards per sport). Atlanta’s Bijan Robinson had 105 yards in Week 4. — Mike DiRocco
Stat to know: Since Week 13, the Jaguars have allowed 123.2 speeding yards per sport, twenty fourth within the NFL. Henry has averaged 100.8 speeding yards per sport towards the Jaguars in his profession.
Matchup X issue: Jaguars cornerback Darious Williams. He has had a pleasant season, with minus-15 EPA allowed as the closest defender — ninth finest amongst exterior corners with at the very least 250 protection snaps — per NFL Subsequent Gen Stats. If he can maintain that play up Sunday, it will assist the Jaguars safe the AFC South title. — Walder
What’s at stake: It is all concerning the Jaguars right here, who can win the AFC South with a victory. However they might nonetheless clinch a wild-card spot in the event that they lose; they’d additionally want a Broncos loss, Steelers loss and something however a tie within the Texans-Colts sport. The eradicated Titans, in the meantime, have an 18% likelihood to complete with a top-five draft slot. Read more.
What to know for fantasy: The Titans will not be enjoying within the postseason, however broad receiver DeAndre Hopkins nonetheless has some contract incentives in play. It’s attainable for him to earn as much as $750,000 if he finishes the sport with at the very least seven receptions, 49 receiving yards and two touchdowns. By way of fantasy factors allowed to broad receivers, the Jaguars’ protection ranks Eleventh, so Hopkins might be a good play. See Week 18 rankings. — Moody
Betting nugget: The Titans are 1-8 ATS towards groups at the moment with profitable data. The Jaguars are 3-0 ATS towards groups at the moment with dropping data. Read more.
Moody’s decide: Titans 26, Jaguars 25
Walder’s decide: Jaguars 20, Titans 10
FPI prediction: JAX, 69.7% (by a median of 6.8 factors)
1 p.m. ET | CBS | Spread: NO -3 (42)
Storyline to observe: The Saints want a win and a Buccaneers loss to win the NFC South, however which may should occur with out operating again Alvin Kamara. Kamara left Sunday’s win towards the Buccaneers with an ankle sprain and missed the primary two practices of the week, leaving his standing unsure for a must-win sport. Kendre Miller and Jamaal Williams can be the following males up if Kamara cannot play. The Falcons nonetheless have playoff hopes however have misplaced three of their previous 4 video games, together with a 20-point loss to the Bears final week and a 9-7 loss to the two-win Panthers in Week 15. — Katherine Terrell
Daring prediction: Bijan Robinson will get his third 100-yard sport, eclipsing 1,000 yards speeding on the season and having his finest speeding sport since he picked up 91 yards towards New Orleans on Nov. 26. The Saints have allowed greater than 130 yards speeding in 4 of their previous six video games — together with 228 speeding yards to Atlanta in November. Atlanta has rushed for 200 or extra yards the previous 3 times it has confronted New Orleans. — Michael Rothstein
Stat to know: Kamara has 1,160 scrimmage yards this season, leaving him 40 shy of turning into the eighth participant in NFL historical past with at the very least 1,200 scrimmage yards in every of his first seven seasons (Matt Forte, LaDainian Tomlinson, Eddie George, Curtis Martin, Ricky Watters, Barry Sanders and Eric Dickerson).
Matchup X issue: Falcons security Jessie Bates III. He has made so many big performs for the Falcons this season — together with six interceptions and three pressured fumbles — that we nearly anticipate it. If he can ship one other, that may go a good distance towards Atlanta beating the Saints. — Walder
What’s at stake: If Tampa Bay falters on Sunday, the winner of this sport would win the NFC South. And the Saints have a bonus situation for a wild-card spot. If the Bucs maintain off the Panthers and clinch the division, the Saints would nonetheless make the playoffs in the event that they win this sport and each the Packers and Seahawks lose their respective video games. Read more.
What to know for fantasy: Operating again Tyler Allgeier continues to play a major function within the Falcons’ backfield alongside Robinson. Allgeier has averaged 9.7 touches per sport in his previous six video games. In every of his previous two video games, he has scored 16 fantasy factors. See Week 18 rankings. — Moody
Betting nugget: The Falcons are 5-11 ATS this season, tied for worst within the NFL, and they’re 4-11 ATS of their previous 15 video games. Read more.
Moody’s decide: Saints 27, Falcons 21
Walder’s decide: Falcons 20, Saints 17
FPI prediction: NO, 60.6% (by a median of three.6 factors)
1 p.m. ET | Fox | Spread: TB -4.5 (37.5)
Storyline to observe: Fairly easy. Tampa Bay can win the NFC South and safe a house sport within the first spherical of the playoffs with a victory. The Buccaneers are going through a Carolina workforce that gave them suits in Tampa in a 21-18 victory in Week 13. Anticipate the same sport on Sunday with a slight edge to the Bucs, who rank nineteenth in scoring and will outproduce a Carolina offense ranked thirty first and coming off its first shutout loss since 2002. — David Newton
Daring prediction: Buccaneers receiver Mike Evans will catch two touchdowns and breaks his private better of 14 touchdowns in a single season. Evans had 162 receiving yards towards the Panthers in Week 13, has averaged 138.5 yards prior to now 4 video games towards the Panthers and has caught six touchdowns in these contests. — Jenna Laine
Stat to know: The Panthers’ Bryce Young has had seven begins this season with zero passing touchdowns (together with the Week 12 loss at Tampa Bay), one shy of tying for the third-most such begins by a rookie quarterback since 1950 (he is tied for second most by a No. 1 total decide).
Matchup X issue: Buccaneers quarterback Baker Mayfield. I used to be one of many many Mayfield skeptics earlier than the season, however right here we’re in Week 18 with him sitting at No. 16 in QBR. All he must do is play at that very same degree once more and Tampa Bay ought to roll over Carolina. — Walder
What’s at stake: The Buccaneers are in a must-win spot. A victory makes them the NFC South champ as soon as once more. A loss sends them dwelling. And the Panthers’ draft slot is locked in at No. 1 after their 14th lack of the season final week, however sadly for Carolina, that decide belongs to Chicago after a commerce within the lead-up to the 2023 draft. Read more.
What to know for fantasy: Evans must be closely concerned towards the Panthers. He has averaged 8.0 targets per sport this season. Evans has averaged 17.3 fantasy factors per sport towards the Panthers in his profession. See Week 18 rankings. — Moody
Betting nugget: Unders are 8-2 within the Panthers’ previous 10 video games. Read more.
Moody’s decide: Buccaneers 24, Panthers 10
Walder’s decide: Buccaneers 23, Panthers 13
FPI prediction: TB, 71.9% (by a median of seven.7 factors)
1 p.m. ET | Fox | Spread: NE -2 (30.5)
Storyline to observe: Might this be Invoice Belichick’s closing sport as Patriots coach? A snow sport is a chance, and with Jets QB Zach Wilson not having cleared concussion protocol, it will likely be a QB battle of Trevor Siemian vs. Bailey Zappe. Siemian is 78-of-133 for 654 yards with 2 landing passes and 4 interceptions on the season, whereas Zappe is 115-of-182 for 1,184 yards with 6 TDs and seven INTs. — Mike Reiss
Daring prediction: There might be no offensive touchdowns within the sport. We’re speaking about two of the worst offenses within the NFL. The Jets have scored a league-low 17 touchdowns, and the Patriots have solely 25. Throw in some sloppy climate, and it’s a must to imagine the sport might be dominated by protection. — Wealthy Cimini
Stat to know: The Patriots have gained 15 straight vs. the Jets, the longest energetic win streak within the NFL by one workforce towards one other and tied for New England’s longest win streak vs. a single opponent (gained 15 straight towards the Payments from 2003 to ’10).
Matchup X issue: Jets deal with Mekhi Becton. Over the previous 4 weeks, the Jets left deal with ranks sixty fourth out of 65 tackles in cross block win fee. The Jets want higher play at that spot, irrespective of the quarterback. — Walder
What’s at stake: Each groups have been eradicated way back, and neither can land the highest draft decide. The Patriots have an opportunity to safe a top-three decide, whereas the Jets have an out of doors likelihood at a top-five choice. Read more.
What to know for fantasy: Jets operating again Breece Hall has had 20 or extra touches and scored 27 or extra fantasy factors in two consecutive video games, however he has a troublesome matchup towards the Patriots in Week 18. This season, New England has been capable of comprise each operating sport it has confronted, permitting the second-fewest speeding yards per sport and the fewest speeding yards per try. See Week 18 rankings. — Moody
Betting nugget: The Jets are 0-6 ATS towards groups at the moment with dropping data this season. Read more.
Moody’s decide: Patriots 23, Jets 13
Walder’s decide: Jets 12, Patriots 9
FPI prediction: NE, 54.2% (by a median of 1.5 factors)
4:25 p.m. ET | CBS | Spread: GB -3 (45.5)
Storyline to observe: Aaron Jones may do one thing that no Packers participant has ever performed: Rush for 120 or extra yards in three straight video games. After Inexperienced Bay had not had a 100-yard rusher all season, Jones went for 127 towards Carolina and 120 towards the Vikings in his first two video games again from a knee harm. Nevertheless, the Bears have the NFL’s No. 1 speeding protection by way of fewest yards allowed per sport (84.0). — Rob Demovsky
Daring prediction: The Bears will play spoiler to Inexperienced Bay’s playoff hopes and beat the Packers for the primary time since 2018. Chicago’s protection, which has held opponents to fewer than 20 factors in 5 straight video games, finishes off its second-half surge by forcing Jordan Love to throw two interceptions, the quarterback’s first sport with a number of picks since Week 10. — Courtney Cronin
Stat to know: Bears broad receiver DJ Moore has 1,300 receiving yards this season, the fifth most in franchise historical past. He’s two receiving yards shy of passing Jeff Graham in 1995 for fourth and 101 receiving yards shy of passing Marcus Robinson in 1999 for third.
Matchup X issue: Packers proper deal with Zach Tom. He’ll be liable for stopping Bears defensive finish Montez Sweat, however his numbers recommend he is up for the problem. Tom ranks 18th out of 69 tackles in cross block win fee this season. — Walder
What’s at stake: The Packers will make the playoffs with a win. However even when the Bears beat the Packers, Inexperienced Bay can nonetheless slide into the postseason with losses from Minnesota and Seattle, and both New Orleans or Tampa Bay. Read more.
Why the Bears ought to transfer on from Justin Fields
Damien Woody and Bart Scott lay out the the reason why the Chicago Bears want to maneuver on from Justin Fields and goal a brand new QB within the NFL draft.
What to know for fantasy: Jones has had 17 or extra touches and 11 or extra fantasy factors in three consecutive video games. The Bears’ protection has given up the ninth-most fantasy factors per sport to operating backs. In his previous 5 video games towards the Bears, Jones has averaged 22.2 fantasy factors. See Week 18 rankings. — Moody
Betting nugget: The Bears have coated 5 straight convention video games. Read more.
Moody’s decide: Packers 30, Bears 27
Walder’s decide: Packers 27, Bears 20
FPI prediction: GB, 57.3% (by a median of two.5 factors)
4:25 p.m. ET | CBS | Spread: PHI -5 (42.5)
Storyline to observe: The Eagles, who set a franchise report final season with 70 sacks, have simply 11 of their previous seven video games. They’d only one two weeks in the past towards the Giants, who’ve allowed an NFL-high 83 sacks, 20 greater than every other workforce. So one thing has to provide. — Jordan Raanan
Daring prediction: Giants receiver Darius Slayton will go for 100-plus yards for a second straight week. The Eagles are coming off one of many worst defensive performances of the 2023 season, yielding 35 factors and 221 speeding yards to the 4-12 Cardinals. With Philadelphia keying on operating again Saquon Barkley, Slayton has an opportunity to finest the three-catch, 90-yard efficiency towards the Eagles in Week 16. — Tim McManus
Stat to know: With a loss, the Giants would have 12 losses for the fourth time prior to now seven seasons. That may tie the Texans for essentially the most since 2017.
Matchup X issue: Eagles edge rusher Haason Reddick. He has a possibility for an enormous sport going towards Matt Peart, who doubtless will step in at proper deal with with each Evan Neal and Tyre Phillips injured for the Giants. Reddick hasn’t recorded a sack since Week 13, however the Eagles may use a pass-rush spark. — Walder
What’s at stake: The Eagles have a playoff spot, however they want a win and a Cowboys loss to take the NFC East title. The Giants, in the meantime, have an 85% likelihood at a top-five draft decide. Read more.
Woody: Eagles are trying like a ‘one-and-done’ playoff workforce
Damien Woody and Bart Scott clarify why the Eagles have misplaced their approach after reaching the Tremendous Bowl final season.
What to know for fantasy: The Eagles’ protection provides up essentially the most fantasy factors per sport to broad receivers. Slayton has had six or extra targets in two of his previous three video games. Additionally, he has scored 18 or extra fantasy factors in two of them. Quarterback Tyrod Taylor can also be in a great spot towards an Eagles protection that has given up essentially the most fantasy factors per sport to quarterbacks. He completed with 18.7 fantasy factors final week towards the Rams. See Week 18 rankings. — Moody
Betting nugget: The Eagles are 1-6 ATS after an outright loss over the previous two seasons, with six of the seven video games going below the entire. The Giants have coated three straight following outright losses. Read more.
Moody’s decide: Eagles 28, Giants 17
Walder’s decide: Eagles 27, Giants 13
FPI prediction: PHI, 83.9% (by a median of 13.1 factors)
4:25 p.m. ET | Fox | Spread: DAL -13 (46.5)
Storyline to observe: Washington quarterback Sam Howell constructed momentum for this season with a robust season finale displaying in a win vs. Dallas in 2022. However doing it for a second consecutive yr might be troublesome. He has thrown 10 interceptions and three landing passes prior to now six video games. Washington’s cross safety has been good recently: Howell has been sacked solely 3 times prior to now three video games. Nevertheless, Dallas sacked him 4 occasions of their earlier assembly; Micah Parsons had 1.5 sacks in that sport and has 13 for the season. He has 5 sacks in 5 profession video games vs. Washington. — John Keim
Daring prediction: Cowboys operating again Tony Pollard will attain the 1,000-yard mark for the season. He wants 65 yards, a quantity he has not topped prior to now 4 video games. He has only one 100-yard sport on the season (Week 3 at Arizona), and the run sport has been caught for a great portion of the season. However in its previous 4 video games Washington has allowed 166.8 yards per sport on the bottom. — Todd Archer
Stat to know: Terry McLaurin wants 54 receiving yards to turn into the primary participant in Washington franchise historical past with 4 straight 1,000-yard receiving seasons. McLaurin has averaged 52.9 receiving yards per sport in his earlier eight matchups towards Dallas.
Matchup X issue: Cowboys cornerback DaRon Bland. He has been high-risk and high-reward with each eight picks and a higher-than-average 1.6 yards per protection snap allowed. However Dallas does not want dangers on this sport. The Cowboys ought to beat the Commanders handily … so long as they do not give up huge performs. — Walder
What’s at stake: The Cowboys are within the playoffs and within the driver’s seat for the NFC East. Win, and it is a division title for Dallas. However even when the Cowboys lose, they’ll nonetheless win the division if the Eagles additionally lose. The Commanders, in the meantime, have a great likelihood to choose No. 2 total within the draft, and they’re locked right into a top-five decide. Read more.
What to know for fantasy: The Commanders’ protection provides up the second-most fantasy factors per sport to quarterbacks and the second-most fantasy factors per sport to broad receivers this season. CeeDee Lamb, Dak Prescott and Brandin Cooks belong in all lineups. See Week 18 rankings. — Moody
Betting nugget: The Commanders are 1-6 ATS at dwelling this season. Read more.
Moody’s decide: Cowboys 35, Commanders 13
Walder’s decide: Cowboys 30, Commanders 20
FPI prediction: DAL, 84.6% (by a median of 13.4 factors)
4:25 p.m. ET | Fox | Spread: SEA -2.5 (47.5)
Storyline to observe: Cardinals quarterback Kyler Murray has been enjoying his finest soccer of the season as of late, together with an almost good second half final week in Philadelphia. He’ll take his finest efficiency of the season into this weekend when he faces a Seahawks workforce that has misplaced 5 of its previous seven. Seattle has allowed only one 300-yard passer since Week 10, so whereas Murray won’t have the ability to hit the mark this week, he can nonetheless have an effect on the sport in different methods. — Josh Weinfuss
Daring prediction: Arizona will run the ball 40-plus occasions. The Cardinals upset the Eagles final week by speeding 40 occasions for 221 yards. They’re going to stick to that system towards a Seahawks protection that has allowed the third-most speeding yards of any workforce this season, together with 202 in a loss final week to Pittsburgh. — Brady Henderson
Stat to know: Pete Carroll is looking for his thirteenth profession playoff berth as a head coach, which might tie Marty Schottenheimer for sixth most of all time.
Matchup X issue: Seahawks broad receiver Tyler Lockett. We have written about him on this spot earlier than, however his 2023 has been pedestrian — simply 1.6 yards per route run — and that has damage Seattle’s offense. The Seahawks may use some Lockett of outdated in Week 18 and within the playoffs, in the event that they get there. — Walder
What’s at stake: The Seahawks would make the playoffs in the event that they win and get a Packers loss (27% doubtless). And the Cardinals have a 69% likelihood at a top-five draft decide. Read more.
What to know for fantasy: Cardinals operating again James Conner faces a Seahawks protection that offers up the third-most fantasy factors per sport to operating backs, so he ought to have a robust end to the common season. Conner has had 17 or extra touches and scored 18.0 or extra fantasy factors in three consecutive video games. See Week 18 rankings. — Moody
Betting nugget: 5 straight Cardinals dwelling video games have gone over the entire. Overs are 6-1 in Cardinals dwelling video games this season. Read more.
Moody’s decide: Cardinals 34, Seahawks 31
Walder’s decide: Cardinals 24, Seahawks 20
FPI prediction: SEA, 63.2% (by a median of 4.5 factors)
4:25 p.m. ET | Fox | Spread: SF -4 (40.5)
Storyline to observe: Each groups have wrapped up playoff spots, with the Niners cemented because the NFC’s prime seed and the Rams capable of do no higher than No. 6. In different phrases, neither workforce has a lot to play for right here, which suggests neither beginning quarterback will play and it is unlikely the primary starters for each groups will play all 4 quarters. San Francisco has gained 12 straight video games towards NFC West opponents, tied for the franchise’s longest streak for the reason that 1970 merger. However the Niners will gladly commerce that streak for higher well being come playoff time. The Rams are in the same mind-set, even with out a streak to increase. — Nick Wagoner
Daring prediction: The Rams will win, ending the 49ers’ nine-game regular-season profitable streak towards Los Angeles. Sure, each groups might be with out a number of starters, however the Rams nonetheless have the No. 6 seed to play for. This sport will even mark the primary Rams begin for Carson Wentz, whom Los Angeles picked up on Nov. 7, so he’ll be impressed towards a 49ers protection that might relaxation a number of gamers. — Sarah Barshop
Stat to know: The 49ers have been favored in 25 straight regular-season video games, the second-longest energetic streak within the NFL (Chiefs are at 27 straight).
Matchup X issue: Rams defensive deal with Aaron Donald. He switches sides all through a sport, however towards the best facet of San Francisco’s line — which is far weaker than its left facet — Donald ought to have the ability to dominate in nonetheless many snaps he performs. — Walder
What’s at stake: Each groups are in, and neither has a lot to play for. The Niners would be the prime seed within the NFC, whereas the Rams might be both the No. 6 or No. 7 seed. Read more.
Scott: Rams, not Cowboys, are most harmful NFC playoff workforce
Bart Scott and Damien Woody suppose Matthew Stafford and the Rams are extra harmful than Dak Prescott and the Cowboys.
What to know for fantasy: Anticipate Rams receiver Demarcus Robinson to have a larger function towards the 49ers than he normally does. Cooper Kupp will not play in Week 18, and rookie Puka Nacua will doubtless comply with swimsuit after he breaks the NFL rookie data for receptions (he is 4 away) and receiving yards (he is 10 off). With the Rams’ prime two targets resting for big elements of Sunday’s sport, Robinson ought to revenue. See Week 18 rankings. — Moody
Betting nugget: Since 2020, the 49ers are 6-1 ATS towards the Rams. Read more.
Moody’s decide: Rams 34, 49ers 31
Walder’s decide: Rams 26, 49ers 22
FPI prediction: SF, 68.6% (by a median of 6.4 factors)
4:25 p.m. ET | CBS | Spread: LAC -3.5 (35.5)
Storyline to observe: The Chargers have misplaced seven of their previous 9 video games to Kansas Metropolis, together with their Week 7 sport this season, when Patrick Mahomes accomplished 20 of 23 passes for 321 yards and three touchdowns within the first half. However the Chiefs are resting Mahomes and different starters Sunday, so Chargers interim coach Giff Smith can have a greater shot at securing his first win and the Chargers’ first over the Chiefs since 2021. — Kris Rhim
Daring prediction: Harrison Butker and Cameron Dicker will kick eight area objectives between them. They mixed for 9 area objectives final week of their respective video games, Butker with six for the Chiefs and Dicker with three for the Chargers. Each groups will begin backups at quarterback, Blaine Gabbert for the Chiefs and Easton Stick for the Chargers, so purple zone manufacturing might be an issue irrespective of which facet has the ball. — Adam Teicher
Stat to know: The Chiefs are 3-2 vs. AFC West opponents this season. They haven’t completed .500 or worse in divisional video games in a season since 2014 (3-3, .500), which was Andy Reid’s second season as coach.
Matchup X issue: Chargers broad receiver Quentin Johnston. There’s nothing at stake right here for both workforce (effectively, moreover the Chargers’ draft place) however at the very least L.A. can get one other take a look at Johnston, who has had a disappointing rookie season. — Walder
What’s at stake: The Chiefs would be the No. 3 seed within the playoffs because the AFC West champion, it doesn’t matter what. So maybe extra eyes might be on the Chargers, who nonetheless have a 28% likelihood to land a top-five draft decide. Read more.
What to know for fantasy: The Chiefs just lately signed operating again La’Mical Perine to their roster. With Kansas Metropolis anticipated to relaxation a few of its starters, which may embrace operating backs Isiah Pacheco and Clyde Edwards-Helaire, Perine may have a sneaky-good matchup towards a Chargers protection that offers up the Eleventh-most fantasy factors per sport to operating backs. See Week 18 rankings. — Moody
Betting nugget: The Chargers are 0-5 ATS in division video games this season. Read more.
Moody’s decide: Chiefs 27, Chargers 24
Walder’s decide: Chiefs 23, Chargers 16
FPI prediction: KC, 50.9% (by a median of 0.3 factors)
4:25 p.m. ET | Fox | Spread: LV -3 (37.5)
Storyline to observe: For 2 years straight now, Jarrett Stidham has unseated a franchise quarterback with two video games to go within the common season. Final season, it was the Raiders and Derek Carr. This yr, it is the Broncos and Russell Wilson, who stayed with Denver and, as a captain, swallowed his satisfaction and went to midfield for final week’s opening coin toss. “We’re excited to see Stidham,” mentioned Raiders interim coach Antonio Pierce. “We wish to see him up shut and private. [Especially edge rusher] Maxx Crosby.” — Paul Gutierrez
Daring prediction: In his final likelihood to make the primary impression within the Broncos’ 2024 quarterback debate, Stidham will throw two landing passes. Since Pierce was named interim coach, the Raiders’ cross protection has been stingy, as solely Tua Tagovailoa, Patrick Mahomes and Easton Stick have reached the two-touchdown cross mark in eight video games. If Stidham can flip a few of the dump-offs final week into extra work intermediate and deep, he’ll crack Las Vegas’ protection for 2 landing throws. — Jeff Legwold
Stat to know: Pierce is 4-4 since being named interim coach in Week 9. The Raiders have allowed a league-low 16.3 factors per sport below Pierce (3-5 and ranked twenty second in PPG allowed by way of Week 8).
Matchup X issue: Broncos cornerback Pat Surtain II. Each groups are out of the playoff race, however we’ll at the very least get to see Surtain tackle Raiders All-Professional receiver Davante Adams. — Walder
What’s at stake: Neither workforce is within the playoff image, and Las Vegas has a 38% likelihood to seize a top-10 draft decide. Read more.
What to know for fantasy: In three video games since taking up for the injured Josh Jacobs, Raiders operating again Zamir White has had 20 or extra touches and scored 14 or extra fantasy factors in every sport. The Broncos’ protection has given up the second-most fantasy factors per sport to operating backs, so White’s late surge ought to proceed. See Week 18 rankings. — Moody
Betting nugget: The Raiders are 4-1 ATS in division video games this season. All 5 Broncos division video games have gone below the entire. Read more.
Moody’s decide: Raiders 27, Broncos 20
Walder’s decide: Broncos 19, Raiders 16
FPI prediction: LV, 54.1% (by a median of 1.4 factors)
8:20 p.m. ET | NBC | Spread: BUF -3 (48.5)
Storyline to observe: The Dolphins do not anticipate cornerback Xavien Howard to play Sunday towards the Payments, however defensive coordinator Vic Fangio would not reveal whether or not he would have Professional Bowl CB Jalen Ramsey shadow Payments WR Stefon Diggs — who torched Miami for 120 yards and three touchdowns in Week 4 — or have him match up with a number of receivers. Contemplating Eli Apple‘s struggles towards Baltimore in Week 17 (three catches, 104 yards and a landing allowed in protection), the place Ramsey traces up might be one thing to observe. — Marcel Louis-Jacques
Daring prediction: Diggs can have his first 100-yard receiving sport since Week 6 and catch a number of landing passes for the second time this season. The manufacturing between Diggs and quarterback Josh Allen simply hasn’t been constant for a good portion of the season, however with the Dolphins’ secondary in a state of flux attributable to accidents, Diggs can have certainly one of his greatest outings of the yr at a time when the Payments really want it. — Alaina Getzenberg
Stat to know: Dolphins quarterback Tua Tagovailoa enters Week 18 main the NFL in completion fee (69.6%) and passing yards (4,451). Tagovailoa is seeking to turn into the eighth QB for the reason that 1970 merger to guide the NFL in each completion fee and passing yards — and the primary since Drew Brees in 2011.
Matchup X issue: Allen. By his personal admission he performed poorly in Week 17. Buffalo wants him at his finest towards the Dolphins. In the event that they get it, the Payments can have a fantastic shot on the AFC East crown. — Walder
What’s at stake: Winner takes the AFC East and the convention’s No. 2 seed. However whereas Miami is in it doesn’t matter what, Buffalo may miss the playoffs if it loses. To make the playoffs in that situation, it will want both a Jaguars loss, a Steelers loss or a Texans-Colts tie. Read more.
McAfee and crew react to Professional Bowl snubs
Pat McAfee and crew react to some notable exclusions from the NFL’s Professional Bowl rosters.
What to know for fantasy: Up to now three video games, the Payments’ protection has given up the second-fewest passing yards per sport, so Tagovailoa may battle. He hasn’t scored 20 fantasy factors in a sport since a Week 8 win over the Patriots. See Week 18 rankings. — Moody
Betting nugget: The Dolphins are 1-4 ATS this season towards groups at the moment with profitable data. Read more.
Moody’s decide: Payments 31, Dolphins 27
Walder’s decide: Dolphins 27, Payments 21
FPI prediction: BUF, 54.3% (by a median of 1.5 factors)